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France Cuts 2026 GDP Forecast Due to Budget Delay, Iran Conflict
The French government is lowering its growth forecast for the year to 0.7% after a delayed budget and the Middle East conflict held back output, Finance Minister Roland Lescure told Le Parisien newspaper.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 29% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days