S6/10Geopolitical
Millones de personas despiden a Alí Jameneí en Teherán en un gesto de poder de la República Islámica
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days