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S5/10Economic
US inflation surges to three-year high amid tensions with Iran
Heightened petrol prices led the inflationary pressures, with prices that jumped 5.5 percent in April.
Source: Al Jazeera
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 14–21 days
B
Status quo
Did not materialiseHorizon: 14–21 days
C
De-escalation
Did not materialiseHorizon: 14–21 days
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