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S8/10Geopolitical
Russian Defence Ministry says it is preparing for large-scale strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure
Russia's Defence Ministry claims it is preparing large-scale attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, Russian state media reports
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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