S5/10Economic
Europe's daily LNG imports fall to lowest level in more than 1.5 years
Since the beginning of June, LNG flows from European terminals into the EU gas transmission system have declined by 20% compared with the previous year
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 34% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Increase in Russian gas exports to Europe. Increased volumes of Russian gas being shipped to European countries after sanctions were imposed. Sharp rise in European spot LNG prices. Demand for short
- ◆term LNG contracts exceeding supply due to geopolitical tensions, leading to price spikes. Time horizon: 30 days to 6 months. Description: The decrease in LNG imports from the previous year is a result of reduced supp
Horizon: 7–30 days