S6/10Geopolitical
At least 25 killed in Sri Lanka prison riots
The two days of violence at Negombo Prison are the worst prison riots in the country in years.
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days