S5/10Economic
NATO military spending already reaches 4% of GDP — secretary general
According to Mark Rutte, European Allies and Canada spent nearly 20% more on core defense in 2025 than they had the year before
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 22% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Horizon: 7–30 days