S8/10Geopolitical
US aware of Iran's nuclear developments without Israel — Trump
The US leader stressed that there is no need for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to publicly state that he intends to reveal something on this topic
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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