S8/10Geopolitical
Indian activist on hunger strike for 20 days forcibly taken to hospital
Sonam Wangchuk had urged people to join a protest march to parliament on 20 July.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 60% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days