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Fighting over Hormuz won't do Iran, US any good — Lavrov
"It’s hard to prognosticate" as regards how much longer the conflict around Iran may last, the Russian foreign minister noted
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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