S6/10Geopolitical
Petro to give farewell speech amid Colombia transfer-of-power tensions
The outgoing president has called for protests as he continues to dispute the results of last month's election.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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