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S8/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with two Iskander missiles and 130 drones overnight
Russia attacked Ukraine with two Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 130 drones of various types on the night of 29-30 August. Hits were recorded at 13 locations.
Source: Ukrainska PravdaOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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