S9/10Geopolitical
Trump warns of largest strikes on Iran yet as Tehran lashes out across Gulf
The US president's threat comes after another day of Iranian attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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