S8/10Geopolitical
Trump says Ukraine will get licence to produce Patriot missiles
Although the Patriots are highly effective against Russia's ballistic missiles, they also have lengthy production times.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 62% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence: Trump says Ukraine will get licence to produce Patriot missiles
Horizon: 7–30 days