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S8/10Geopolitical
Four years after Mahsa Amini's death, rights groups warn Tehran's crackdown persists
Human rights groups said those who directed the violent suppression of the 2022 protests still control Iran's security apparatus, as Kurdish businesses shuttered across her home region and the UN Special Rapporteur said four years of state violence had failed to extinguish the resistance.
Source: EuronewsOriginal source
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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