S6/10Geopolitical
Multinationals still avoiding UK tax after US opts out of reforms, MPs warn
New global ‘pillar 2’ rules require companies to pay top-up levies
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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