S8/10Geopolitical
Iran threatens to block more trade routes as US launches fresh strikes
President Donald Trump vowed to strike Iran's bridges and power plants next week if the country does not return to talks.
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
Checking access status…