S6/10Geopolitical
South Africa: Driven home by anti-migrant protests
Two women tell DW how anti-migrant protests upended their lives in South Africa, forcing them to return to Zambia and rebuild from scratch.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days