S6/10Geopolitical
Iran renews Hormuz threats as Doha talks end with cautious progress
Tehran threatened a "forceful response" against vessels straying from its approved Hormuz routes, even as mediators said indirect US-Iran talks in Doha concluded with "positive progress". The next round of talks will wait until after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's funeral, which begins on Saturday.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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