S9/10Geopolitical

US and Iran attack infrastructure, raising fears of escalation

The US struck ⁠bridges in Iran, and Tehran responded by hitting a power and desalination plant in Kuwait on Friday, as the two sides risked further escalation by expanding their targets to include infrastructure. At sea, where the renewed conflict has again cut off energy supplies from the Gulf, US Marines boarded a tanker near the Strait of Hormuz. Armed men seized another vessel off Yemen, raising concern over security in the Middle East’s other big choke point for oil shipments at the mouth...

17 Jul 2026, 19:40 UTCSource: South China Morning PostOriginal source

Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).

⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Horizon: 7–30 days

Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.

Checking access status…