S6/10Geopolitical
Ukrainian strikes claim lives of 70 Russians, including two children over week — diplomat
Rodion Miroshnik said that more than 360 people, including 12 minors, have been injured
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 37% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days