S6/10Geopolitical
Two killed, 18 injured in Russian attacks on Donetsk and Kherson oblasts over past day
Russian attacks on Donetsk and Kherson oblasts on 11 July killed two people, injured 18 others and damaged civilian infrastructure.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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