S6/10Geopolitical
Drones strike fuel depots, defence plant and oil terminal in Azov and Taganrog – photos, videos
Drones targeted several sites in Russia's Rostov Oblast overnight and into the morning of 10 July, including fuel storage facilities, a defence industry plant and a port oil terminal.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 44% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days