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S7/10Natural
‘Rare, untreatable strain’: Ebola toll mounts in eastern DR Congo
The top UN aid official in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) is in Ituri province – the epicentre of the country's Ebola outbreak – for a three-day assessment visit, as the confirmed case count reaches 515 across three eastern provinces.
Source: UN NewsOriginal source
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Escalation
Horizon: 14–28 days
B
Status quo
Horizon: 14–28 days
C
De-escalation
Horizon: 14–28 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
