S6/10Military
Putin mentions Zelenskyy's photo by Kupiansk city sign: "We're 2-5 km from Kupiansk, 10 km from Sumy"
Putin claimed Russian troops are around 10 km from Sumy and between 2 km and 5 km from Kupiansk, while insisting Russia allegedly has no plans to seize Sumy.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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