S6/10Social
Russian military analyst implicates Ukraine's new army chief in Donbass crimes in 2014
Andrey Marochko is adamant that nothing will change on the line of engagement with the appointment of Drapaty as the Ukrainian army’s commander-in-chief
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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