S6/10Geopolitical
What are ‘civilian’ sites in international law and where have US, Iran hit?
The US has escalated attacks on Iranian roads, bridges and power plants, and Iran too, has responded.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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