S6/10Geopolitical
Kremlin: We will no longer believe the West wants negotiations on Ukraine
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has said Russia no longer believes the West wants "negotiated solutions" to Russia's war against Ukraine.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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