S9/10Geopolitical
A seventh night of US strikes cuts water to villages in Iran’s south
The US has bombed bridges and energy infrastructure in the seventh straight night of attacks on Iran.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 77% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days