S6/10Military
US breaching its commitments to trigger Iran's military response — top defense official
"Iran is capable of both negotiating and engaging in confrontation simultaneously," Acting Defense Minister Major General Seyyed Majid Ibn Reza added
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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