S6/10Geopolitical
Top Fed official urges rethink of bank’s reliance on ‘forward guidance’
Chris Waller sides with Kevin Warsh in call for revamping how rate-setters communicate with investors
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 38% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days