S6/10Geopolitical
Casualties, fire at Wildberries facility: aftermath of drone attacks on Russian regions
On-duty air defense systems downed a total of 131 Ukrainian fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over 11 Russian regions
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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