S7/10Natural
Around 60,000 migrants flood Spain’s Ceuta
According to Spanish media, thousands of migrants swam to Ceuta from Morocco, while others covered the distance on foot
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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