S6/10Geopolitical
Russian ombudswoman prepares response to UN on Starobelsk tragedy
Yana Lantratova previously said the UN office had requested information from Russia on the investigation into the Ukrainian armed forces' strike
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 40% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days