S6/10Geopolitical
US judge dismisses January 6 case against Proud Boys after Trump order
The case is the latest instance of the Trump administration seeking to unravel prosecutions against January 6 rioters.
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 35% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days