S6/10Military
Ukraine’s population decreasing by 300,000 people per year excluding troops — expert
Vasily Voskoboynik added that millions of Ukrainians are currently abroad and are unlikely to return because they have already settled there
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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