S8/10Geopolitical
Iran Rushes Out Oil Exports as Tensions With US Flare Again
Iran has rushed out oil tankers carrying roughly 11 million barrels of crude in the past 24 hours as tensions flare again with the US and President Donald Trump threatens to reimpose a blockade on its ports.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 62% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days