S8/10Geopolitical
IRGC says US aircrafts targeted at Jordan’s Aqaba airport
IRGC says US aircrafts targeted at Jordan’s Aqaba airport Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed attacks targeting US C-17 transport planes and a P-8 aircraft at Aqaba airport in Jordan. According to the statement, the US aircrafts "were targeted with ballistic missiles, causing severe damage to a number of them". The IRGC also said that it targeted 20 shelters where US forces were stationed in the in the Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, "killing of dozens of American terrorist forces".
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 59% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days