S5/10Economic
Banks’ Record Bond Short Sparks Quest for Answers
For the first time in recent history, primary dealers have gone net short on debt they used to hold billions of dollars of.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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