S6/10Geopolitical
Ukraine’s F-16s are being worn out from intercepting Russian drones
Ukrainian F-16s have destroyed more than 2,500 one-way attack drones, but repeated interceptions are wearing out the country's small fleet.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Horizon: 7–30 days
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