S8/10Geopolitical
FACTBOX: Over 600 Ukrainian drones shot down over Russian regions overnight
The Russian Defense Ministry emphasized that the West's attempts to use the Kiev regime as a proxy to attack civilian Russian targets would be countered by increasing the number and severity of strikes on Ukrainian territory
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 65% model probability
Сценарии event-driven intelligence:
Horizon: 7–30 days