S8/10Geopolitical
Russians carry out massive attacks on Naftogaz facilities for third consecutive day
Russian forces have been carrying out large-scale strikes on gas production facilities of the Naftogaz Group in Kharkiv Oblast since early morning on 6 July.
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 64% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days