S9/10Geopolitical
Iran war live: US launches new strikes; Trump mourns killed soldiers
US president says death of soldiers in Jordan a 'sad thing' as US forces attack Iran for the eighth consecutive night.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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