S6/10Geopolitical
Iran asks Houthis to close Bab al-Mandeb Strait if US attacks power network
Iran asks Houthis to close Bab al-Mandeb Strait if US attacks power network Iran requested the Houthis in Yemen to close the Red Sea gateway Bab al-Mandeb Strait if the US attacks power network, Reuters reported.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 42% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days