S6/10Geopolitical
F-35 for Turkey? Trump says ‘certainly, we’ll consider’ reversing ban
“We’re going to be taking the sanctions off,” the president said. “We’re going to be taking the sanctions off. It’s time to do that. Ok? We don’t want to sanction friends. It’s very simple.”
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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