S8/10Geopolitical
Russia may use captured Ukrainian drones against Poland and Baltics, Warsaw warns
Russia has captured a large number of Ukrainian drones and may be planning to use them against NATO or to stage a false flag attack, Polish officials said.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 69% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days