S6/10Geopolitical
美国防部公布美军伤亡 ： 18死482伤 ！ 特朗普最新发声 ， 伊朗强硬威胁 ： 将不允许本地区出口一滴石油 ， 美国盟国的电力供应 必将断绝 |伊拉克|唐纳 · 川普|唐纳德 · 特朗普
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
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