S8/10Geopolitical
Russia attacks Ukraine with nearly 100 drones and two Kh-59/69 missiles
Russia launched 94 drones and two Kh-59/69 guided missiles overnight. Ukrainian air defences down 81 drones.
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
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