S9/10Geopolitical
Trump says he cancelled Iran strikes after Middle East allies’ request
US president claims ‘perimeters of a deal’ to end conflict have been agreed days after he threatened to attack
Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).
⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days
Exact probability, cascade chain, and confirmation indicators unlock for approved members.
Checking access status…