S6/10Social
Over ten million people take part in farewell ceremonies for Khamenei in Iraq
The supreme committee expressed "deep gratitude and appreciation to all official institutions, holy shrines, security forces and armed forces, including the Shiite Popular Mobilization Forces, thousands of volunteers and all the people of Iraq"
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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 30% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days